Home win
Match result
Last 10
Home, draw or away, weighed from each side's recent form and the head to head.
A short read on what the match result market is, how the FootyMetrics AI calls home, draw or away, and how to read the cards above.
1X2 is the headline football market: home win (1), draw (X), or away win (2). The result that counts is the one after 90 minutes plus injury time. Extra time and penalty shootouts in cup ties don't move the 1X2 result, so a 1-1 in 90 minutes settles as a draw even if one side goes on to win on penalties.
It is the hardest call in football because three outcomes split the probability three ways instead of two. The AI's strongest 1X2 calls tend to sit between 50 and 70 percent, where one side is clearly stronger on the data.
The AI looks at each side's recent results, weighted toward home fixtures for the home team and road fixtures for the visitor. Recent form carries more weight than older results, so a team on a streak gets credit for it. Head to head between the two sides feeds in alongside, and the AI is more confident in a 1 or 2 call when the recent meetings tell the same story.
Confirmed lineups and injuries shift the call once they land. A missing first-choice goalkeeper or a suspended centre-back can tilt a tight fixture from a 1 toward a draw, and the AI re-evaluates when the team news arrives.
Each card shows the picked side, the AI's probability, and the best current bookmaker odds across the books we track. The probability bar runs green when the call is strong and amber when it is marginal.
The green edge badge appears when our probability is higher than the one implied by the odds. If a home pick sits at 60 percent and the odds are 1.85 (implied 54 percent), the edge is plus six. That is where value sits. When the bookmaker has the odds right or better, the badge stays off but the pick still shows.
If a straight 1, X or 2 call feels too risky, the double chance market covers two of the three outcomes per pick. For half-time calls, see 1X2 HT. More on the AI behind the call is on the how it works page.
What counts toward the 1X2 result?
The result after 90 minutes plus injury time. Extra time and penalty shootouts in cup matches do not count. A 1-1 after 90 minutes is a draw on 1X2 even if the home side wins on penalties.
Which side does the AI lean toward most?
Whichever the data supports. The model has no preference for favourites or underdogs. A strong away side travelling to a leaky home team often shows up as a 2 pick even when the home crowd would suggest otherwise.
Why is the draw rarely picked?
Draws are genuinely harder to predict. The AI calls a draw when the two sides look closely matched on form and the head to head supports a stalemate, but most fixtures lean enough one way that a 1 or 2 wins out.
Can I see only highest-edge picks?
Yes. Switch the sort dropdown above the grid to Highest edge. That brings the picks where the AI most disagrees with the bookmaker to the top.