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Referee stats

Career averages, hit rates and card habits for every referee we track, matched to this week's appointments and the prices on offer. Built for cards markets, where the official is the biggest input most people never check.

Rankings

Career leaders, 50 games minimum

How to read referee stats

Why referee stats matter

Referees are not neutral inputs. Pick a strict one and the cards over is live before kickoff. Pick a quiet one and the no cards line gets short. Their long run averages are public, free, and most punters never check them.

Sort by what you are trying to price, sanity check the sample size, then see who is on the next match.

Reading the cards numbers

Cards a game is yellows plus reds, the headline input. Booking points is the same thing scored the way UK books score it, which is what the 45 and 55 lines are built on.

The percentage columns are hit rates. Over 4.5 cards is the share of matches that finished with five or more.

Sample size and noise

The games figure is the sample every other number sits on top of. Anything under 30 is too small to bet off, and we label it rather than hide it.

Hit rates need bigger samples than averages. A referee with 12 matches and a 75% over 4.5 rate has officiated nine high card games. That is not a tendency, that is nine games.

The referee is one input, not the bet

A referee sets a baseline. The two teams move it, and by more than the referee does. A strict official on two clean passing sides will not produce a card fest.

That is what the player and team trends alongside each fixture are for: the referee tells you the ceiling, the sides tell you whether anyone will get near it.

Markets to shop with this

Asian total cards at 3.5 and 4.5 is where the liquidity is, and it is the only referee adjacent match market priced on a decent share of fixtures. Player cards runs deeper than the match line and is softer.

Total fouls is barely priced anywhere, so treat the fouls numbers as context for the cards line rather than a market of their own.

Referee stats FAQ

Common questions about referee data, sample sizes and how to use these stats for cards markets.

Which referee gives the most cards per match?

Esteban Ostojich leads every referee we track with 6.75 cards a game across 221 matches, against a tracked average of 4.29. The full Most cards a game leaderboard ranks all 837 officials who clear the games floor.

Which referee is on my match this week?

We currently hold 151 confirmed appointments across 16 competitions in the next 8 days. Every one is listed above with the official's career numbers, and you can filter to a single competition or a single date.

Where do the odds on this page come from?

The best available price from the bookmakers we publish, shown with the bookmaker's logo. Cards markets are priced on a minority of the 151 appointments above, and total fouls on far fewer still, which is why the fouls numbers here carry no price.

How many matches does a referee need before their stats are reliable?

We treat 30 as the floor and 50 for the leaderboards. Below that, single results swing every average. Any appointment sitting on fewer than 30 matches is labelled on the card.

Do referees give more cards at home or away?

Home teams typically commit fewer fouls than away teams, so they usually take fewer cards. The size of that gap varies referee by referee, and the two home card bias leaderboards show who leans furthest in each direction.

What is a booking points market?

A UK card total scored by points instead of count. Yellow is 10 points, red is 25. Books offer over and under lines at 25, 35, 45 and 55, so a referee's booking points average is the number those lines are built on.

Why does it matter what players were booked for?

Because the reason splits separate referees that the totals do not. Two officials can both average 3.8 cards a game while one gives 7% of his yellows for dissent and another gives 32%.

Are these numbers career stats or season only?

Career, across every tracked match in our database. The single referee page breaks each official down season by season and by competition.

How often are the referee stats updated?

The page refreshes hourly and prices refresh more often than that. Stats are recalculated after every match, so the averages, hit rates and appointments reflect the most recent fixtures.

How should I actually use referee stats for betting?

Treat them as a prior, not a prediction. The referee sets a baseline and the two teams move it, usually by more than the referee does. The average official we track hits over 4.5 cards in 43% of matches, while the calmest, Koichiro Fukushima, averages just 1.24 cards a game. That spread is the edge, not the headline number.

Which referee gives the most penalties?

Ibrahim Nour El Din tops the penalties leaderboard, awarding a spot kick in 48% of 54 matches, against a tracked average of 25%. Penalties carry the most variance of any referee number, so read it alongside the games column.

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