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About double chance predictions

A short read on the double chance market, how the FootyMetrics AI picks between 1X, X2 and 12, and how to read the cards above.

What is a double chance prediction?

Double chance is a safer take on the match result. Instead of picking one of home, draw or away, you back two of the three. 1X covers home or draw. X2 covers draw or away. 12 covers home or away with the draw excluded. The bet wins if either of the two covered outcomes lands at the end of 90 minutes plus injury time.

Odds are lower than the equivalent 1X2 call because two outcomes cover more ground, but the hit rate is much higher. It is the market to look at when one side is favoured but a straight 1 or 2 still feels too risky.

How the FootyMetrics AI picks a double chance call

The AI scores the same three outcomes as 1X2 and combines them into the three double chance options. A fixture where the home side looks strong but not bulletproof against a stubborn visitor often surfaces as a 1X pick, capturing both the win and the draw with a safer hit rate.

The same inputs feed in: recent form for both sides (home form for the home team, away form for the visitor), head to head, confirmed lineups, injuries and per-league context. The market switches when the draw becomes more important than one of the outright outcomes.

How to read a double chance pick

Each card shows the picked combination (1X, X2 or 12), the AI's probability, and the best current bookmaker price across the books we track. Probabilities sit higher on this market than on 1X2 because two outcomes are in play, so the percentage band that counts as a strong call is shifted accordingly.

The green edge badge appears when our probability beats the implied probability from the price. With double chance prices being tight to start with, edges tend to be smaller in absolute terms than on 1X2.

For straight match result calls, see 1X2. More on the AI behind the call is on the how it works page.

Frequently asked questions

What does each double chance code mean?

1X covers home win or draw. X2 covers draw or away win. 12 covers home win or away win (no draw). You win the bet if any one of the two outcomes lands at 90 minutes.

When is double chance better than 1X2?

Whenever a straight call feels too risky but the picture still leans one way. Backing 1X on a home favourite at 1.25 is safer than backing 1 outright at 1.55. You give up some odds for a much wider safety net.

Why is 12 rarely the pick?

12 only loses on a draw, so it's the safest of the three at a price most books make tight. The AI calls 12 when both sides look unlikely to settle for a draw, but it usually shows lower odds than 1X or X2 on the same fixture.

Does extra time count?

No. Double chance is settled on the 90 minutes plus injury time. Cup ties that go to extra time and penalties are settled by the score after regulation.

How our predictions work
The data behind the model and how we measure accuracy.

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